Explore Rareview Capital commentary on macro trends, market structure, portfolio construction, and the forces shaping investor decision-making across cycles.
A key distinction between fixed income and other asset classes is that the yield curve and vast array of available instruments allow you to recreate scenario analysis precisely. We have assembled the following pieces of the fixed income puzzle. The interest rate hiking cycle is no longer a mystery. Therefore, we are ready to “fight the Fed” and make significant fixed income portfolio construction changes.
Many are confused about why the US fixed income market is pricing interest rate cuts in 2023, with inflation at a high level and the unemployment rate at a low ...
We utilize this framework as a guidepost for a stock market correction's potential depth and length. This is not a prediction or bold call for a bear market. Remaining open-minded ...
by Neil Azous, Chief Investment Officer Introduction The size of the global bond market (i.e., total debt outstanding) is $119 trillion worldwide. The United States accounts for $46 ...
by Michael Sedacca, Portfolio Manager Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) Quantitatively, there is the most fear priced into the municipal-bond closed-end fund sector in over a decade. If you own ...
by Michael Sedacca, Portfolio Manager Seasonality is the tendency for securities to perform better during some periods and worse during others. In the last quarter of the year, closed-end ...
by Neil Azous, Chief Investment Officer A Model Driven Approach To The Federal Reserve Probability Framework Unconditional Probabilities Four Quadrants The Qualitative Arguments Conclusion A Model-Driven Approach To ...
by Neil Azous, Chief Investment Officer Case for Increasing “High-Grade” Fixed Income Case for Decreasing Treasury-Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Asset Allocation Changes In our January 14th, 2021 investment commentary ...
by Neil Azous, Chief Investment Officer The Starting Point Observing The Trend Change Confirming an Intermediate-term Trend Change Linkage Between NASDAQ-100 & 30-Year US Treasury Yields How Much Time Is ...
by Neil Azous, Chief Investment Officer The Next Sight Beyond Sight® Three Critical Signals Regime Shift Impact on Asset Classes: U.S. Equities, Gold, U.S. Dollar, Emerging Markets, TIPS ...
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